Toward Collective Resilience

A Framework for Shared Action

Exploring pathways for community-centered transformation
in an interconnected world

Panel on Resilience Navigation & Finance

Preparing for FfD4 • Seville 2025

Our Journey Today

"Resilience emerges not from returning to what was, but from co-creating what could be—together."

Understanding Challenges

Exploring interconnected risks requiring collective wisdom

Framework for Action

Seven dimensions that honor community knowledge

Finance Innovation

Collaborative approaches to resource mobilization

Understanding Existential Risks (100-Year Horizon)

Existential risks could permanently curtail humanity's potential through extinction or irreversible collapse

5-20%

🤖 AGI Misalignment

Superintelligent AI with misaligned goals could reshape planet without regard to human survival

EVL: 5-20% (Highest Priority)

5-20%

🌡️ Climate Tipping Points

Irreversible feedback loops could drastically alter Earth's systems, collapsing food systems

EVL: 1.5-14% (Very High Priority)

1-10%

🔥 Nuclear War

Could destroy global infrastructure, agriculture, and governance in a single cascade

EVL: 0.5-9% (Very High Priority)

10-25%

🧠 Misinformation Collapse

Erosion of truth and collective action capacity, paralyzing response to other crises

EVL: 1-10% (High Priority)

5-15%

🌾 Food System Collapse

Global famine and resource conflicts undermining civilization's foundation

EVL: 1.25-9% (High Priority)

1-5%

🦠 Engineered Pandemics

Synthetic pathogens could surpass medical countermeasures with planetary-scale mortality

EVL: 0.85-4.25% (High Priority)

Expected Value of Loss (EVL) = Probability × Impact helps guide resource allocation

The 2025 Moment: Urgency and Opportunity

A pivotal moment for global development and cooperation

"2025 marks a decade after the UN Addis Ababa Action Agenda set forth a framework for financing sustainable progress, with just five years remaining until the 2030 SDGs deadline"

🌍 Global South Leadership

Fast-growing economies driving bold health, sustainability, and economic initiatives. Countries across Africa, Latin America, and Asia pioneering investment models and leveraging technology.

🤝 Collaborative Opportunity

Real progress requires global collaboration, forging equitable partnerships that promote shared knowledge, joint investment, and sustainable innovation.

🏛️ FfD4 Seville 2025

This landmark gathering where leaders from all sectors are unlocking new financing mechanisms aligned with global development priorities.

Near-Term High-Probability Disruptions (2025-2035)

Beyond existential risks, these disruptions will shape the critical action decade

🌍 Climate & Environmental

  • • Climate extremes (heat waves, droughts, floods)
  • • Biodiversity collapse threatening ecosystems
  • • Water scarcity affecting 2+ billion people
  • • Food insecurity and agricultural disruption

🤝 Social & Health

  • • Rising inequality and wealth concentration
  • • Forced migration (100+ million displaced)
  • • Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) crisis
  • • Mental health epidemic

💼 Economic & Technology

  • • AI disruption of labor markets
  • • Debt crises in developing nations
  • • Supply chain vulnerabilities
  • • Digital divide deepening

🏛️ Governance & Politics

  • • Democratic backsliding globally
  • • Youth disillusionment and exclusion
  • • Cyberattacks on critical infrastructure
  • • Geopolitical fragmentation

These threats demand immediate attention and coordinated response in the critical decade ahead

The Seven Resilient Community Dimensions

A framework that seeks to align global aspirations with community needs and wisdom

"Resilience emerges when communities have the capacity to understand, prepare for, and respond to complex challenges while maintaining their core identity and functions."

🌍 Holistic Approach

Seven interconnected dimensions that form the foundation of resilient communities

🤝 Community-Centered

Honors local wisdom while connecting to global knowledge and resources

🔄 Adaptive Framework

Flexible structure that responds to unique contexts and evolving challenges

Let's explore each dimension and how they work together to build resilience...

Building on Existing Global Efforts

The international community has made important progress through various frameworks

UN SDGs

Universal goals providing valuable foundations for collective action

Planetary Boundaries

Science-based thresholds for Earth system stability

Paris Agreement

Near-universal consensus on climate action

Sendai Framework

Comprehensive approach to disaster risk reduction

There is an opportunity to better connect global goals with community-led initiatives through more integrated approaches

Seven Dimensions: Threats & Key Strategies

1. Environmental Stewardship & Resource Security

Threats: Climate change, resource depletion, biodiversity loss, pollution
Strategies: Renewable energy transition, conservation programs, circular economy

2. Social Equity & Well-being

Threats: Inequality, health disparities, social fragmentation, discrimination
Strategies: Universal healthcare, inclusive education, social safety nets

3. Economic Prosperity & Resilience

Threats: Economic concentration, job displacement, financial instability
Strategies: Local ownership, cooperative enterprises, diversified economies

4. Governance & Civic Engagement

Threats: Authoritarianism, corruption, civic disengagement, polarization
Strategies: Participatory democracy, transparency initiatives, community organizing

"Resilient communities integrate global imperatives with local realities"

Seven Dimensions: Threats & Key Strategies (cont.)

5. Infrastructure & Built Environment

Threats: Climate impacts, cyber risks, urban displacement, aging systems
Strategies: Climate-adaptive design, decentralized systems, green infrastructure

6. Cultural Vitality & Heritage

Threats: Cultural erosion, Indigenous displacement, media monoculture
Strategies: Cultural preservation funds, Indigenous knowledge, local media platforms

7. Knowledge & Learning

Threats: Misinformation, digital divide, youth disillusionment, brain drain
Strategies: Critical thinking education, open knowledge platforms, community research

"RCDs integrate global imperatives with local realities—serving as both an address and navigation tool"

Seven Resilient Community Dimensions

A comprehensive framework showing all dimensions and their key subdimensions

Click on any segment to explore the interconnected elements of community resilience

Critical Analysis: Who Decides? Who Benefits? Who Suffers?

"No one liberates anyone else, and no one is liberated alone. People liberate themselves in fellowship." - Paulo Freire

Risk Who Controls? Who Suffers Most? Liberation Path
Climate Crisis Fossil fuel industries, Global North Global South, Indigenous peoples Energy democracy, reparations
AI Development Tech elites, private labs Workers, marginalized communities Participatory AI governance
Food Systems Agribusiness, commodity traders Small farmers, urban poor Food sovereignty movements
Information Systems Big Tech platforms, algorithms Democratic publics, minorities Public digital infrastructure

Risks are not neutral—they reflect power imbalances. Solutions must center oppressed voices and enable collective liberation.

Exploring New Financing Approaches

Current funding mechanisms may benefit from adaptation to better support long-term, community-centered initiatives

Current Limitations

  • • Short-term horizons vs long-term needs
  • • Top-down vs participatory approaches
  • • Single metrics vs holistic value
  • • Fragmented funding creating competition

New Possibilities

  • • Patient capital for regenerative outcomes
  • • Community co-design of funding priorities
  • • Multi-dimensional value creation
  • • Integrated funding approaches

Financing Strategies by Dimension

Dimension Innovative Financing Tools Expected Impact
Environmental • Ecological Sovereignty Funds
• Soil Credit Markets
• Climate Commons Trusts
• Agroecological Insurance
• Food Resilience Bonds
Community-governed ecosystem restoration, verified soil health rewards, international restoration funding
Social Equity • Universal Basic Services Pools
• Care Infrastructure Funds
• Social Health Guarantees
• Resilience Remittances
• Health Equity Levies
Redirect subsidies to public services, blended finance for care systems, minimum health investment per capita
Economic • Local Sovereign Wealth Funds
• Cooperative Capital Catalysts
• Anti-Volatility Funds
• Resilience Payroll Offsets
• Debt-for-Transition Swaps
Community-controlled investment, patient finance for worker ownership, disruption support, green job incentives
Governance • Civic Infrastructure Endowments
• Participatory Credit Ratings
• Platform Fines Funds
• Democracy Bonds
• Youth Governance Dividends
Long-term democracy support, reward inclusive governance, tech penalties for civic media

Comprehensive Financing Tools (Dimensions 5-7)

Dimension Innovative Financing Tools Expected Impact
Infrastructure • Infrastructure Equity Trusts
• Geo-Risk Pools
• Infrastructure DAOs
• Urban Micro-TIFs
• Sponge City Bonds
Community ownership models, federated climate insurance, blockchain-governed repairs, green infrastructure
Cultural • Resilience Media Funds
• Cultural Endowments
• Creative Commons Bonds
• Displacement-Resistant Funds
• Inclusion Grants
Support diverse narratives, preserve endangered heritage, public arts infrastructure, protect culture in crisis
Knowledge • Knowledge Trusts
• Open Infrastructure Funds
• Curriculum Investment
• Youth Research Dividends
• Info Ecosystem Repair
Community-governed research, public learning platforms, co-designed education, trusted knowledge channels

35+ Innovative Finance Mechanisms designed to be regenerative, participatory, and multi-dimensional

Transforming Finance Flows for Resilience

From extractive models to regenerative approaches supporting all seven dimensions

Interactive flow diagram showing how traditional finance can be transformed to support community resilience

Policy Roadmap for Resilience-Based Global Development (2025-2030)

A structured five-year strategy aligning policy, financing, and innovation

Year 1: July 2025 – June 2026

Establishing Resilience Foundations
  • • FfD4 Outcome Declaration (July 2025)
  • • UNGA80 resilience integration (September 2025)
  • • Launch Resilience Finance Hub (December 2025)
  • • Global Data & AI for Resilience Initiative

Year 2: July 2026 – June 2027

Scaling Resilience Systems
  • • UNGA81: Global Resilience Accord
  • • COP32: Climate-resilience alignment
  • • Regional Resilience Innovation Labs
  • • Health resilience infrastructure expansion

Year 3: July 2027 – June 2028

Institutionalizing Governance
  • • UNGA82: Post-SDG framework integration
  • • Global Resilience Index launch
  • • National Resilience Councils
  • • Multilateral Development Bank integration

Years 4-5: 2028-2030

Economic Transition & Architecture
  • • UNGA83: Resilience-Based SDGs
  • • UNGA84: Post-2030 Goals launch
  • • Resilience Investment Funds expansion
  • • Global Development Architecture embedding

Opportunities for Collective Action

🌍 Global Level

• Embed resilience in UN/G20/IMF policy
• Create Global Resilience Financing Facility
• Reform international institutions
• Establish solidarity mechanisms

🏛️ National Level

• Create National Resilience Councils
• Integrate RCDs in planning/budgeting
• Develop resilience indicators
• Support local innovation

🏘️ Local Level

• Conduct resilience assessments
• Co-design finance solutions
• Build cross-dimension initiatives
• Create learning networks

💼 Private Sector

• Adopt ESG+Resilience standards
• Develop patient capital
• Support blended finance
• Partner with communities

"Together, we can nurture the resilience our communities and planet need."

Panel Discussion Guide

Interactive session structure for resilience navigation and finance

Open Full Discussion Guide

"How might we transform our financial systems to nurture community resilience in an interconnected world?"

Resources for Continued Engagement

📚 Learn More

• Review the full Seville Agenda
• Explore the Seven Dimensions framework
• Access financing mechanism blueprints

🤝 Get Involved

• Join preparatory dialogues for FfD4
• Connect with the global community
• Pilot dimensions in your community

🌟 Take Action

• Share innovations and learnings
• Build local partnerships
• Advocate for resilience finance

Together at the Fourth International Conference on Financing for Development
Seville, Spain • June 2025